Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.42	3.8	1.83
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	4.05	3.64	1.81	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.67)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
23.5%

Draw
26.2%

Gimcheon Sangmu
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.2%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kim Young-Kwang (G) 37. Kim Hun-Min 20. Jo Sung-Wook 5. Murnane P. 23. Jung Seung-Yong 4. Lee Sang-Min 55. Park Tae-Jun 33. Jeon Seong-Su 8. Park Sang-Hyeok 27. Lee Jun-Sang 10. Lee Jong-Ho	31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 24. Yoon Jong-Gyu 35. Lee Sang-Min 34. Kim Jae-Woo 23. Park Min-Gyu 30. Kim Dong-Hyun 17. Kim Jun-Beom 26. Won Du-Jae 20. Lee Joon-Suk 40. Lee Young-Jun 7. Choe Byeong-Chan
Substitutes
1. Choe Pil-Soo (G) 24. Jang Young-Gi 3. Kang Eui-Bin 6. Kim Hyun-Tae 17. Lee Ji-Hun 47. Park Ji-Won 15. Shin Jae-Won	39. Kang Hyun-Muk 32. Kim Jin-Kyu 38. Kim Min-Jun 28. Kim Tae-Hyun 37. Lee Jung-Min 18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 14. Yoon Seok-Joo
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Jung-yong C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gimcheon Sangmu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimcheon Sangmu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Seongnam won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
16.09.23	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimpo	2:4 ✺
26.08.23	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2 ✺
21.08.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Bucheon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWT
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 2
02.09.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
29.08.23	Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Chungnam Asan	4:0 ✺
20.08.23	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seoul E-Land	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
06.08.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	4:0
07.05.23	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:2
South Korean Cup
12.04.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 penalties
South Korean K-League 1
09.10.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
05.08.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:4
21.06.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
06.04.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:3

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