The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 12.9%
Draw 21.1%
Ulsan HD 66%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
23.7%
57.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.1%
23%
56%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma's form might have worsened.
Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulsan HD's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulsan HD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.7%
21.7%
69.6%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Ulsan HD Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Ulsan will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 50.8% – 88.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 1.
Recent matches Seongnam is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ulsan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Seongnam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ulsan is a favorite.
Last 25 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 23-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Seongnam won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-20.