The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Servette 20.9%
Draw 25.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk 53.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.7%
24%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
23.4%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.6%
14.8%
79.6%
Servette - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Shakhtar (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
TQ, OT - Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Shakhtar Donetsk will win
(43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% โ 91.66%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 22 - 88%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mall J. (G) 20. Magnin T. 25. Bronn D. 6. Baron A. 18. Mazikou B. 9. Stevanovic M. 8. Cognat T. (C) 11. Fomba L. 14. Njoh L. 10. Antunes A. 90. Mraz S.
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 6. Marlon Gomes 30. Alisson 21. Bondarenko A. 27. Ocheretko O. 11. Kevin 10. Sudakov G.
Substitutes
45. Atangana J. 40. Aubert M. (G) 32. Frick J. (G) 21. Guillemenot J. 30. Jallow A. 7. Morandi G. 5. Ondoua G. 17. Ouattara T. 37. Scandurra L. 29. Varela K. 33. Zuka L.
16. Azarovi I. 74. Faryna M. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 20. Glushchenko A. 19. Kaua Elias 26. Konoplya Y. 37. Lucas Ferreira 4. Marlon 29. Nazaryna Y. 38. Pedrinho 9. Shved M. 24. Tsukanov V.
Coaches
Gourvennec J.
Turan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Njoh L. ⚽, Stevanovic M. (A),
53', Njoh L. 🟨,
55', Bondarenko A. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
55', Alisson ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
65', Mraz S. ↓, Varela K. ↑,
68', Tobias V. ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
68', Marlon Gomes ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Kevin (Pen),
73', Njoh L. ↓, Ondoua G. ↑,
83', Antunes A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
89', Magnin T. 🟨,
90+3', Kevin 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
99', Ocheretko O. ↓, Marlon ↑,
100', Henrique P. ↓, Azarovi I. ↑,
113', 1 - 2, Kaua Elias ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
114', Kaua Elias 🟨,
114', Fomba L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
114', Stevanovic M. ↓, Morandi G. ↑,
119', Pedrinho 🟨,
119', Ondoua G. 🟨,
120+4', Bronn D. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Servette won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.