Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Arenteiro		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.75
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.83	3.15	4.6
	1.86	3.25	4.3
	1.93	3.18	3.9	Watch
	1.86	3.13	4.48
	1.83	3.15	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)	3.15 ↓ (3.55)	4.39 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
50%

Draw
29.1%

Amorebieta
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amorebieta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arenteiro - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 4. Moreno J. 22. Sanchez J. 2. lano Imbene 17. Pascu 8. Solar M. 6. Prendes M. 19. Aguado T. 7. Ferreiro D. 11. Gomez D. 18. Rodriguez E.	13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 22. Yuste A. 20. Coto E. 23. Calavera J. 4. Kortazar M. 3. Camacho S. 14. Ben Hamed N. 7. Selma D. 17. Munoz I. 11. Hervias P.
Substitutes
20. Berardozzi T. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 10. Marquitos 3. Munoz I. 16. Rivelott Curro 5. Rodriguez T.	5. Amelibia J. 15. Aurtenetxe J. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 18. Coulibaly A. 21. Marin A. 1. Marino U. (G) 27. Reka 29. Uberuaga U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Calavera J. 🟨,
31', Kortazar M. 🟨,
36', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Pascu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Hervias P. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Selma D. ⚽,
65', Camacho S. 🟨,
70', Solar M. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
70', Pascu ↓, Marquitos ↑,
73', 🟨,
75', Hervias P. ↓, Bravo Fernandez M. ↑,
75', Calavera J. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
80', Selma D. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
84', Munoz I. ↓, Reka ↑,
84', Carbonell A. ↓, Aurtenetxe J. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Arenteiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arenteiro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:0 ✺
05.10.24	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Barbastro - Amorebieta	4:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
13.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTL

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