Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	6.25
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.61	3.45	6
	1.59	3.6	5.79
	1.65	3.5	5.13	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.83
	1.61	3.45	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	5.75 ↑ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
57.5%

Draw
26.5%

Sestao
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

27.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.1%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Leonesa - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 14. Bicho 6. Presa K. (C) 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.	1. Garrido J. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Blanco C. 16. Galvez R. 3. Cordero C. 15. Bustillo M. 6. Gomez A. 8. Garai G. 18. Cordoba A. 11. Etxaniz J. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. (C)
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 16. Maestre S. 12. Ortega G. 22. Pibe 4. Rodri Suarez 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	9. Aznar D. 12. Barandalla M. 23. Efremov A. 21. Miranda A. 17. Palacin E. 7. Planas A. 26. Recalde P. N. (G)
Coaches
Llona R.	Viadero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Garcia V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Galvez R. ↓, Efremov A. ↑,
58', Presa K. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
59', Garrido J. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Etxaniz J. ⚽,
67', Etxaniz J. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
67', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
72', Artola J. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
72', Bicho ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Justo M. ⚽,
80', Garai G. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Aznar D. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
84', Garcia V. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
84', Fornos Q. ↓, Pibe ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Leonesa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sestao is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leonesa to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Llanera - Leonesa	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	FC Andorra - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Leonesa - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTW
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Sestao - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Zamora - Sestao	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Tarazona - Sestao	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Sestao - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.05.24	Leonesa - Sestao	0:1
23.09.23	Sestao - Leonesa	0:0

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