Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, TVG 2


	Ourense CF		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.28	3	3.25
	2.27	2.98	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.93	3.26
	2.28	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.55)	2.99 ↓ (3.26)	3.19 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
40.7%

Draw
30.6%

Real Sociedad B
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ourense CF - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 10. Gil A. 6. Fidalgo A. 8. Ramos J. (C) 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 24. Beitia L. 15. Rodriguez P. 3. Balda J. 17. Ramirez D. 10. Goti Lopez M. 6. Lebarbier A. 28. Carbonell T. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 40. Astiazaran L.
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A. 12. Teijo E. 23. Xesc Fullana	13. Arana E. (G) 35. Carrera G. 18. Garcia E. 37. Garro J. 16. Gibelalde M. 19. Marchal A. 38. Ropero I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Zalaya A. ⚽,
72', Noriega J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
72', Raigal J. ↓, Xesc Fullana ↑,
77', Carbonell J. ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
77', Gil A. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
86', Ramos J. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Sociedad B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Ourense CF - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ourense CF - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Zamora	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Ourense CF	2:1

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