Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Sestao		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.18	3.15	3.15
	2.08	3.23	3.13
	3.34	1.49	8.95	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.05
	2.08	3.63	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.4)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	4.08 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
42.7%

Draw
33.1%

Portugalete
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portugalete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Sestao - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 0.

Portugalete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.05.26	Sestao - Utebo	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Amorebieta - Sestao	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sestao - Basconia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTT
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Portugalete - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Leioa - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Portugalete - Eibar C	4:2 ✺
11.04.26	Añorga - Portugalete	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Portugalete - Durango	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
25.07.20	Portugalete - Sestao	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.02.20	Sestao - Portugalete	2:2
22.09.19	Portugalete - Sestao	4:1
05.05.19	Portugalete - Sestao	0:0
16.12.18	Sestao - Portugalete	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.02.18	Portugalete - Sestao	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.01.16	Portugalete - Sestao	1:2

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