Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)


	Setúbal		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3
	2.34	2.91	3.27
	2.34	2.91	3.27
	2.24	3.1	3.2
	2.33	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	3.14 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
39.8%

Draw
30.8%

União de Santarém
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

31.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Heliardo ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Apolinario R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Sequeira D. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Setúbal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União de Santarém is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.04.24	Elvas - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Setúbal - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Oriental - Setúbal	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Setúbal - Juventude de Évora	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Barreirense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTWW
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.04.24	União de Santarém - Vitória de Sernache	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	União de Coimbra - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Rabo de Peixe - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	União de Santarém - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
24.01.22	União de Santarém - Setúbal	4:1
20.01.22	Setúbal - União de Santarém	3:1

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