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Sevilla - Las Palmas

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 36
  • Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla) 🌤️ ...
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Sevilla Las Palmas
    Sevilla Las Palmas
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.71)    		 3.76 ↓
    (3.97)    		 5.42 ↑
    (5.16)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sevilla
    56.6%    		Draw
    25.6%    		Las Palmas
    17.8%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    56.8% 24.4% 18.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    57.6% 23.9% 18.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    87% 7.2% 5.8%

    Sevilla - Las Palmas Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Las Palmas (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Las Palmas (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Las Palmas (3.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Sevilla (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (56 of 65 users predict this - 86.15%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.75% – 94.55%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sevilla will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Las Palmas (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. NorwayNyland O. (G)
      2. SpainCarmona J. A.
    22. FranceBade L.
      4. SpainSalas K.
    26. SpainSanchez J.
    12. BelgiumLokonga A. S.
    18. FranceAgoume L.
    20. SwitzerlandSow D.
    10. SpainSuso (C)
    42. SpainPascual A.
    11. BelgiumLukebakio D.
    		13. CroatiaHorkas D. (G)
    18. SpainViti
      4. SpainAlex Suarez (C)
    28. SpainHerzog J.
      3. SpainMarmol M.
    24. BelgiumJanuzaj A.
      8. SpainCampana J.
    21. SpainBajcetic S.
    10. SpainMoleiro A.
    19. SpainRamirez S.
    16. ScotlandMcBurnie O.
    Substitutes
    44. PuertoAntonetti L.
    28. SpainBueno M.
    21. NigeriaEjuke C.
      1. SpainFernandez A. (G)
      6. SerbiaGudelj N.
    27. BelgiumIdumbo S.
    23. BrazilMarcao
    35. SpainMartinez R.
    34. ColombiaMejia M.
    17. SpainNiguez S.
      3. SpainPedrosa A.
    14. SpainPeque
    		  9. SpainCardona M.
      1. NetherlandsCillessen J. (G)
    29. PortugalEssugo D.
    14. SpainFuster M.
      5. SpainJavier Munoz
    30. ArgentinaKillane A. (G)
    12. FranceLoiodice E.
      2. SpainMarvin
    17. SpainMata J.
    15. ScotlandMcKenna S.
    23. SpainMunoz A.
      6. FrancePelmard A.
    Coaches
         SpainCaparros J.
    		     SpainMartinez D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 7', Agoume L. 🟨,
    • 24', Marmol M. 🟨,
    • 44', Salas K. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 51', Bajcetic S. ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
    • 52', 1 - 0, Pascual A. ⚽, Agoume L. (A),
    • 55', Suso 🟨,
    • 56', Sanchez J. 🟨,
    • 59', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
    • 70', Alex Suarez ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
    • 70', Campana J. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
    • 70', Januzaj A. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
    • 74', Pascual A. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
    • 76', Sow D. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
    • 76', Niguez S. 🟨,
    • 82', Moleiro A. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
    • 82', Viti ↓, Marvin ↑,
    • 83', Javier Munoz 🟨,
    • 85', Campana J. 🟨,
    • 87', Cardona M. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Mata J. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Gudelj N. 🟨,
    • 90+5', McBurnie O. 🟨,
    • 90+12', Bade L. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 4.
  • Sevilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Las Palmas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Sevilla is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Thigh Injury) Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury) Romero I. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Las Palmas: Rodriguez K. (Health problems) Silva F. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There are questionable in Sevilla: Lokonga A. S. (Hamstring Injury) Salas K. (Injury) Sow D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vargas R. (Hamstring Injury)
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sevilla FC
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.05.25 Celta de Vigo - Sevilla 3:2 ✺
    04.05.25 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2 ✺
    24.04.25 Osasuna - Sevilla 1:0 ✺
    20.04.25 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺
    11.04.25 Valencia - Sevilla 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0
    LTLTL
    - UD Las Palmas
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.05.25 Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    03.05.25 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:3 ✺
    23.04.25 Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺
    19.04.25 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    12.04.25 Getafe - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3
    LLLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    16.08.24 Las Palmas - Sevilla 2:2
    14.04.24 Las Palmas - Sevilla 0:2
    17.09.23 Sevilla - Las Palmas 1:0
    Club Friendly
    22.07.21 Sevilla - Las Palmas 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    17.02.18 Las Palmas - Sevilla 1:2
    20.09.17 Sevilla - Las Palmas 1:0
    12.02.17 Las Palmas - Sevilla 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sevilla FC
    Spanish LaLiga
    01.11.26 Getafe - Sevilla ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    29.10.26 Sporting Hortaleza - Sevilla ✺
    - UD Las Palmas
    Spanish LaLiga2
    02.11.26 Real Oviedo - Las Palmas ✺

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