Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Sevilla		Lens

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.75
	1.98	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.5	4
	2.06	3.46	4.04
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.92	3.52	4.1
	1.97	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	4 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDNxtra 3

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
48.9%

Draw
27.3%

Lens
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Lens aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	5.8%	2.2%

Sevilla - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (126 of 137 users predict this - 91.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.42% – 96.52%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 6. Gudelj N. 4. Ramos S. 3. Pedrosa A. 20. Fernando 18. Sow D. 17. Lamela E. 10. Rakitic I. (C) 5. Ocampos L. 15. En Nesyri Y.	30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 6. Abdul Samed S. 26. Mendy N. 3. Machado D. 7. Sotoca F. 11. Fulgini A. 9. Wahi E.
Substitutes
22. Bade L. 12. Diaz M. 2. Gattoni F. 8. Jordan J. 11. Lukebakio D. 9. Mir R. 16. Navas J. 13. Nyland O. (G) 27. Salas K. 24. Soumare B. 7. Suso 21. Torres O.	2. Aguilar R. 18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 27. Guilavogui M. 21. Haidara M. 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 20. Maouassa F. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 22. Said W. 28. Thomasson A.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Haise F.

Preview

Sevilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lens has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sevilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sevilla is a favorite.

There will not play in Sevilla: Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Costa D. (Shoulder Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury) Haidara M. (Thigh Injury) Mendy N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Acuna M. (Hamstring Injury) Nianzou T. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Sevilla - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Sevilla - Girona	1:2 ✺
21.08.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	4:3 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
16.08.23	Manchester City - Sevilla	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.08.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
16.09.23	Lens - Metz	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Monaco - Lens	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Lens - Rennes	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Brest - Lens	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.26	Sevilla - Osasuna	✺
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
30.10.26	Lille - Lens	✺
24.10.26	Lens - Paris FC	✺

Sevilla - Lens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide