Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Sevilla		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5	Watch
	1.8	3.4	5
	1.7	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5.84
	1.77	3.52	5.38	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.8
	1.72	3.83	5.81	Watch
	1.7	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	5.35 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
55.6%

Draw
26.4%

Leganés
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	18.2%	15.2%

Sevilla - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 3 - 50%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Leganés (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leganés (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Sevilla (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Leganés (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nyland O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 22. Bade L. 4. Salas K. 3. Pedrosa A. 18. Agoume L. 10. Suso (C) 14. Peque 17. Niguez S. 11. Lukebakio D. 42. Pascual A.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 3. Saenz J. 20. Hernandez J. 18. Duk 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 5. Tapia R. 11. Cruz J. 10. Raba D. 23. Munir El Haddadi
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 45. Dasilva L. 21. Ejuke C. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 6. Gudelj N. 27. Idumbo S. 23. Marcao 35. Martinez R. 36. Oso 7. Romero I. 26. Sanchez J. 20. Sow D.	36. Alvin (G) 30. Diomande Y. 19. Garcia D. 21. Lopez R. 22. Nastasic M. 17. Neyou Y. 7. Rodriguez O. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Caparros J.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Lukebakio D. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Munir El Haddadi ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Salas K. ⚽, Suso (A),
28', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
34', Brasanac D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carmona J. A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
55', Niguez S. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
56', Peque ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
62', Tapia R. 🟨,
67', Cruz J. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
67', Duk ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Romero I. ⚽, Sanchez J. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Hernandez J. ⚽, Chicco J. (A),
75', Hernandez J. 🟨,
76', Romero I. 🟨,
81', Diomande Y. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez S. ↓, Neyou Y. ↑,
81', Raba D. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
84', Neyou Y. 🟨,
84', Pascual A. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
88', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
89', Pedrosa A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 3.

Sevilla is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leganés is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sevilla is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Thigh Injury) Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury) Vargas R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Altimira A. (Yellow Cards) Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Cisse S. (Red Card) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Hormigo D. (Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
24.04.25	Osasuna - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Betis - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
24.04.25	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mallorca - Leganés	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Leganés - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Leganés - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Real Madrid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.11.24	Leganés - Sevilla	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Leganés - Sevilla	0:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga
30.06.20	Leganés - Sevilla	0:3
01.12.19	Sevilla - Leganés	1:0
03.05.19	Sevilla - Leganés	0:3
23.12.18	Leganés - Sevilla	1:1
18.03.18	Leganés - Sevilla	2:1

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