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Current Win Probability
Sevilla B 26.1%
Draw 28.9%
Alcorcón 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.6%
23.9%
61.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.3%
22.8%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla B's performance.
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sevilla B - Alcorcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Luchino L. (G) 2. Moreno J. 20. Fattore V. 19. Martinez S. (C) 3. Lopez D. 6. Rivera P. 42. Lociga F. 22. Dasilva L. 41. Cruz J. 9. Costa A. 28. Castillo M.
13. Marti O. (G) 6. Perez I. 35. Arcos D. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 18. Aguado T. 14. Vacas L. 8. Martinez B. 11. Kopotun V. 7. Aparicio E.
Substitutes
38. Calero J. A. 21. Cortez J. 39. da Silva A. 24. Espineira A. 44. Faget-Antonetti R. 12. Kpebane T. 4. Munoz I. 40. Ortiz H. 45. Recio Ruiz S. (G) 26. Sow B.
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Blanco R. 9. Carmona M. 33. Kone S. 3. Nieto S. 17. Ouhdadi O. 5. Rai 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽,
60', Vacas L. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
60', Aguado T. ↓, Rai ↑,
60', Martinez B. ↓, Ouhdadi O. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Ouhdadi O. ⚽,
75', Dasilva L. ↓, Sow B. ↑,
75', Castillo M. ↓, Ortiz H. ↑,
77', Aparicio E. ↓, Santana dos Santos E. L. ↑,
77', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
88', Cruz J. ↓, Faget-Antonetti R. ↑,
88', Lociga F. ↓, Kpebane T. ↑,
89', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Sevilla B is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 1.
Recent form of Sevilla B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Alcorcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alcorcón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Alcorcón is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Spain
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Luchino L. (G) 
Moreno J. 
Kopotun V. 
Cortez J. 
da Silva A. 
Faget-Antonetti R. 
Kpebane T. 
Sow B. 
Ouhdadi O. 
Santana dos Santos E. L. 
