Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Rennes

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.4	3.45	2.2
	3.1	3.4	2.22
	3.34	3.31	2.35
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.18	3.45	2.24
	3.3	3.4	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
29.7%

Draw
28.1%

Rennes
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	19.7%	49.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 22 - 31%). Rennes will win (votes: 35 - 49.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 19.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 37.7% – 60.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Shakhtar was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (32%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.

Rennes was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%), has currently - 12, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.

This event has quality 64, small importance 21, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Shakhtar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rennes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.

Rennes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shakhtar: Korniienko V. (Knee Injury) Shved M. (Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Assignon L. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Knee Injury) Traore H. (Knock) Xeka (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Nazaryna Y. (Injury) Ocheretko O. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
08.02.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Sarajevo	4:0 ✺
01.02.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Maribor	4:4 ✺
31.01.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
27.01.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Koper	2:2 ✺
20.01.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTTTL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
12.02.23	Toulouse - Rennes	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Rennes - Lille	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Rennes - Strasbourg	3:0 ✺
27.01.23	Lorient - Rennes	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.23	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

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