Match Info

First League - Round 14

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Batyr Ekibastuz		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	6.00	5.25	1.33
	5.90	5.15	1.34
	8.86	5.18	1.27	Watch
	5.80	4.80	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.64 ↓ (6.99)	5.1 ↑ (4.49)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batyr Ekibastuz
13.6%

Draw
17.7%

Shakhter Karagandy
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

20%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

19.5%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batyr Ekibastuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Ulshin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Nurmugamet R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Batyr has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Batyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	23	20	2	1	64:8	56	62
8	FC Batyr	23	7	5	11	31:53	-22	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
10.07.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Kairat 2	2:4 ✺
02.07.26	Khan Tengri - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:3 ✺
26.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Astana 2	1:1 ✺
18.06.26	Tobol 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:3 ✺
12.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTTT
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Khan Tengri - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.04.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0
08.08.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0

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