Match Info

Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 32

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Jenner Park (Barry)

Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)


	Barry Town United		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.95	1.58
	5.11	4.12	1.62
	4.78	4.1	1.64	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.62
	4.97	3.78	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↓ (5.27)	3.95 ↓ (4.03)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Town United
18.9%

Draw
23.5%

The New Saints
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.7%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+3%)

Barry Town United - The New Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 23. Barton D. 17. Cuddihy O. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen I. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. (C) 21. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 8. Brobbel R. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 15. Farrell E. 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 3. Marshall J. 10. Redmond D. 21. Smith L. (C) 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J.
Substitutes
19. Bernard J. 50. Case J. M. 6. Davies K. 32. Norris J. 38. Patten K. 14. Smith D. 1. Thomas J. (G)	7. Barton D. 40. McCue E. 24. Nadin J. 38. Owen B. (G) 2. Owen J. 35. Summers B.
Coaches
Legg A.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Owen I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Brobbel R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Richards W. ↓, Davies K. ↑,
63', Barton D. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
66', Smith L. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
74', Cuddihy O. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
88', Willmott R. ↓, Norris J. ↑,

Preview

Barry Town is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, TNS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:58. (average 0.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:37. (average 0.7:3.7).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34
4	Barry	12	8	1	3	27:20	7	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.04.26	Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWLW
- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.04.26	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
20.03.26	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
28.02.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	0:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
24.01.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	1:0
04.10.25	The New Saints - Barry Town United	4:0
30.08.25	Barry Town United - The New Saints	0:0
Welsh League Cup
01.12.24	Barry Town United - The New Saints	1:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
02.11.24	Barry Town United - The New Saints	1:4
14.09.24	The New Saints - Barry Town United	4:0

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