Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frischer J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 16
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 17, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+


	The New Saints		Astana

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.19	3.4	3.54
	2.08	3.44	3.41	Watch
	2.07	3.66	3.58
	2.1	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (4)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	3.46 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
45.1%

Draw
27.6%

Astana
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.1%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.7%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The New Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

The New Saints - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Astana will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Roberts C. (G) 7. Daniels J. 22. Davies D. 6. Bodenham J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 21. Smith L. 14. Williams D. 18. Holden R. 17. Williams J. 9. McManus D. 8. Brobbel R.	55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 3. Kalaica B. 4. Bystrov M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 72. Basmanov S. 11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 81. Karimov R.
Substitutes
24. Baker A. 20. Bradley S. 27. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 19. Clark B. 33. Doforo N. 30. Edwards J. (G) 12. Hudson B. 16. McGahey H. 2. Pask J. 28. Wilson A. 31. Woollam B.	71. Anuarov S. 53. Berezutskiy A. 47. Mamontov M. 96. Mustafin B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 52. Tokenov T. 97. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Holden R. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
43', Harrison C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Holden R. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
71', Brobbel R. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
72', Basmanov S. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, McManus D. (Pen),
88', Williams J. ↓, Cieslewicz A. ↑,
90+5', McManus D. ↓, Canavan J. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - The Croud Meadow.

Recent matches TNS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Astana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in TNS: McGahey H. (Injury)

There are questionable in TNS: Astles R. (Injury) Olosunde M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:0 ✺
12.10.24	The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan	3:0 ✺
09.10.24	The New Saints - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Fiorentina - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.09.24	Newtown - The New Saints	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
20.10.24	Yelimay Semey - Astana	0:3 ✺
16.10.24	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Astana - Bačka Topola	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
29.09.24	Zhenis - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
25.09.24	Astana - Yelimay Semey	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW

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