Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Arman Gohar		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.3	2.25
	4	2.28	2.26
	4.34	2.27	2.3
	3.86	2.45	2.36
	4.2	2.33	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (2.82)	2.33 ↓ (2.67)	2.3 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arman Gohar
22%

Draw
38.8%

Kheybar Khorramabad
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

35.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arman Gohar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arman Gohar's form might have worsened.

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arman Gohar than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arman Gohar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kheybar Khorramabad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4).

Recent matches Arman Gohar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kheybar Khorramabad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arman Gohar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kheybar Khorramabad have a series of home games.

Kheybar Khorramabad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arman Gohar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arman Gohar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arman Gohar
Iran Division 1
06.11.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar	1:0 ✺
31.10.22	Arman Gohar - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:3 ✺
25.10.22	Darya Babol - Arman Gohar	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Arman Gohar - Shahrdari Astara	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Arman Gohar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWW
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Division 1
06.11.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	4:0 ✺
25.10.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:1 ✺
12.10.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:0 ✺
06.10.22	Chooka Talesh - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
19.04.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Arman Gohar	0:2
08.12.21	Arman Gohar - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1
14.05.21	Arman Gohar - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0
28.12.20	Kheybar Khorramabad - Arman Gohar	2:1

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