Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 9

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)


	Shandong Taishan		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9	Watch
	1.39	4.33	7
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.36	5.27	7.27
	1.42	4.68	7.15
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.44	4.59	7.44	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	4.57 ↓ (4.77)	7.57 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
67.1%

Draw
20.5%

Nantong Zhiyun
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

19.6%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.9%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shandong Taishan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (G) 2. Tong Lei 27. Shi Ke 5. Zheng Zheng 11. Liu Yang 30. Abudulam Abdursul 35. Huang Zhengyu 22. LI Yuanyi 10. Qazaishvili V. 32. Fernandinho 9. Cryzan	23. Xue Qinghao (G) 4. Shinar Y. 15. Liu Wei 20. Anthony I. 2. Wei Lai 18. Jiang Zilei 16. Puclin D. 25. Cao Kang 26. Ye Daochi 17. Ji Shengpan 7. Nzuzi Mata K.
Substitutes
29. Chen Pu 8. Delgado P. 33. Gao Zhunyi 18. Han Rongze (G) 16. Jia Feifan 20. Liao Lisheng 21. Liu Binbin 26. Liu Shibo (G) 17. Wu Xinghan 23. Xie Wenneng 13. Zhang Chi 31. Zhao Jianfei	14. Chen Zhao (G) 9. Godinez J. 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 34. Luo Xin 5. Ma Sheng 36. Qiu Zhongyi 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 6. Yang Ming-Yang 29. Zheng Haoqian 11. Zimin Nuali
Coaches
Choi Kang-Hee	Jurasovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Wei Lai 🟨,
20', Abudulam Abdursul 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Ye Daochi ⚽, Wei Lai (A),
33', 1 - 1, Cryzan ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jiang Zilei ↓, Yang Ming-Yang ↑,
46', Tong Lei ↓, Gao Zhunyi ↑,
46', Abudulam Abdursul ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
46', Ji Shengpan ↓, Godinez J. ↑,
48', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
48', 2 - 1, Cryzan ⚽,
50', 3 - 1, Cryzan ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
61', Ye Daochi ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
65', Fernandinho ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
70', Wei Lai ↓, Liao Lei ↑,
74', Cryzan ↓, Liao Lisheng ↑,
86', Nzuzi Mata K. ↓, Zimin Nuali ↑,
89', Qazaishvili V. ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Shandong Taishan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nantong Zhiyun is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Shandong Taishan is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shandong Taishan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shandong Taishan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
26.04.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Shanghai Port - Shandong Taishan	4:3 ✺
09.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
26.04.24	Qingdao West Coast - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Port	0:3 ✺
05.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
16.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shandong Taishan	1:1
21.04.23	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
13.10.21	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0

Upcoming Matches