Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 2, Sport 3
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Shanghai Port		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.65	3.85	1.65	Watch
	4.7	4.13	1.67
	2.58	3.78	2.39	Watch
	5.16	3.87	1.66	Watch
	4.5	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.1)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	1.81 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
22.3%

Draw
24.5%

FC Seoul
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

25.1%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.

FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Seoul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Seoul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Shanghai Port - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Seoul will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shanghai Port (2.17) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Seoul (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Seoul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Port (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Seoul (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (G) 4. Wang Shenchao (C) 13. Wei Zhen 5. Zhang Linpeng 40. Yusup Umidjan 32. Li Shuai 11. Lu Wenjun 22. Matheus Jussa 10. Mateus Vital 47. Kuai Jiwen 49. Li X.	31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 63. Park Soo-Il 41. Hwang Do-Yun 5. Al Arab Y. 18. Jeong Tae-Wook 7. Jeong Seung-Won 16. Choi Jun 8. Lee Seung-Mo 77. Lucas Silva 45. Dugandzic M. 10. Lingard J. (C)
Substitutes
12. Chen Wei (G) 25. Du Jia (G) 27. Feng Jing 23. Fu Huan 36. Haliq Ablahan 29. Jojo A. C. 53. Li Zhiliang (G) 21. Melendo O. 52. Meng Jingchao 15. Ming Tian 6. Xu Xin 20. Yang Shiyuan	70. Anderson Oliveira 33. Bae Hyun-Seo 11. Cheon Seong-Hoon 21. Choi Chul-Won (G) 9. Cho Young-Wook 36. Kim J. 20. Lee Han-Do 72. Min Ji-Hoon 27. Moon Seon-Min 40. Park Seong-Hoon 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 28. Samuel G.
Coaches
Muscat K.	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Lu Wenjun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Lingard J. ⚽, Dugandzic M. (A),
56', Lee Seung-Mo 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Mateus Vital ⚽, Matheus Jussa (A),
61', 1 - 2, Lucas Silva ⚽, Lingard J. (A),
65', Kuai Jiwen ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
65', Li X. ↓, Xu Xin ↑,
67', Dugandzic M. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
67', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Anderson Oliveira ↑,
68', Lucas Silva ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Lingard J. ⚽, Hwang Do-Yun (A),
79', Lu Wenjun ↓, Feng Jing ↑,
81', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Ryu Jae-Moon ↑,
84', Li Shuai ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
84', Wang Shenchao ↓, Jojo A. C. ↑,
86', Zhang Linpeng 🟨,
86', Lingard J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Port won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shanghai Port won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Buriram United - Shanghai Port	2:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Shanghai Port - Zhejiang Professional	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	FC Seoul - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	FC Seoul - Gangwon	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
26.04.17	Shanghai Port - FC Seoul	4:2
21.02.17	FC Seoul - Shanghai Port	0:1

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