Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	FC Seoul		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.55	Watch
	1.66	3.88	4.46	Watch
	1.93	3.69	3.89	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.66)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	3.98 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
51.6%

Draw
24.9%

Chengdu Rongcheng
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Seoul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

FC Seoul - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Seoul (2.04) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: FC Seoul will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Seoul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Seoul (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 16. Choi Jun 5. Al Arab Y. 40. Park Seong-Hoon 22. Kim Jin-Su 8. Lee Seung-Mo 41. Hwang Do-Yun 70. Anderson Oliveira 10. Lingard J. (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 11. Cheon Seong-Hoon	1. Jian Tao (G) 19. Dong Y. 5. Letschert T. 22. Li Y. 11. Gurfinkel Y. 8. Chow T. (C) 16. Yang Ming-Yang 39. Gan Chao 10. Romulo 9. Felipe Silva 2. Hu H.
Substitutes
33. Bae Hyun-Seo 21. Choi Chul-Won (G) 9. Cho Young-Wook 45. Dugandzic M. 18. Jeong Tae-Wook 20. Lee Han-Do 25. Lim Jun-Sub (G) 77. Lucas Silva 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 63. Park Soo-Il 29. Ryu Jae-Moon	4. Delgado P. 18. Han Pengfei 58. Liao Rongxiang 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 14. Ran Weifeng (G) 24. Tang Chuang 3. Tang Xin 17. Wang Dongsheng 7. Wei Shihao 15. Yan Dinghao 26. Yuan Mincheng
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Romulo ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hwang Do-Yun ↓, Ryu Jae-Moon ↑,
46', Hu H. ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
66', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
66', Cheon Seong-Hoon ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
70', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
80', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
85', Delgado P. 🟨,
89', Liao Rongxiang ↓, Wei Shihao ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Seoul is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chengdu Rongcheng's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of home games.

In this match, Seoul is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	FC Seoul - Gangwon	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLT
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Johor Darul Takzim	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.10.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWW

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