Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Shanghai Shenhua		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.65	1.9
	3.6	3.8	2
	2.06	3.57	3.12	Watch
	3.62	3.7	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.06)	3.68 ↑ (3.57)	2.26 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
30.4%

Draw
26.5%

FC Seoul
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Shenhua's form might have worsened.

FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Seoul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Seoul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Shanghai Shenhua - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Seoul will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Seoul (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Shanghai Shenhua (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Seoul will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Seoul (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu Chenjie 16. Yang Zexiang 17. Gao Tianyi 23. Yennaris N. 15. Wu Xi (C) 10. Teixeira J. 34. Liu Chengyu 19. Asue L.	31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 16. Choi Jun 5. Al Arab Y. 40. Park Seong-Hoon 22. Kim Jin-Su 45. Dugandzic M. 41. Hwang Do-Yun 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 77. Lucas Silva 70. Anderson Oliveira 10. Lingard J. (C)
Substitutes
6. Amadou I. 9. Andre Luis 30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 27. Chan Shinichi 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 45. Han Jiawen 3. Jin Shunkai 11. Saulo Mineiro 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu	33. Bae Hyun-Seo 11. Cheon Seong-Hoon 21. Choi Chul-Won (G) 9. Cho Young-Wook 7. Jeong Seung-Won 18. Jeong Tae-Wook 36. Kim J. 20. Lee Han-Do 8. Lee Seung-Mo 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 63. Park Soo-Il
Coaches
Slutski L.	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
45+1', Ryu Jae-Moon 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
46', Al Arab Y. ↓, Lee Han-Do ↑,
46', Liu Chengyu ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Asue L. ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
59', Ryu Jae-Moon ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
66', Yang Zexiang ↓, Chan Shinichi ↑,
66', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
69', Asue L. ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
75', Dugandzic M. ↓, Cheon Seong-Hoon ↑,
87', Hwang Do-Yun ↓, Jeong Seung-Won ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽, Manafa W. (A),
90+2', Teixeira J. ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Seoul has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
17.10.25	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
26.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	6:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Gangwon - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWTL
- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	FC Seoul - Buriram United	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	FC Seoul - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	FC Seoul - Gwangju	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWTW

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