Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Suriname	SCCN
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Vissel Kobe		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	5.5	9.4	Watch
	1.27	5.89	10.31
	1.48	4.38	5.51	Watch
	1.31	5.41	10.2	Watch
	1.23	5.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	5.39 ↑ (4.38)	9.08 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
72%

Draw
17.5%

Ulsan HD
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vissel Kobe's performance.

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulsan HD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vissel Kobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulsan HD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Vissel Kobe - Ulsan HD Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Vissel Kobe (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ulsan (3.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 3 - 75%). Ulsan (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 41. Nagato K. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler 25. Kuwasaki Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 6. Ogihara T. 9. Miyashiro T. 26. Jean Patric 10. Osako Y. 13. Sasaki D.	23. Moon Jung-In (G) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 4. Seo Myung-Guan 66. Trojak M. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 36. Lacava M. 22. Kim Min-Hyeok (C) 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 72. Baek In-Woo 18. Heo Yool
Substitutes
71. Gonda S. (G) 77. Gustavo Klismahn 23. Hirose R. 15. Honda Y. 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 29. Komatsu R. 11. Muto Y. 32. Ubong R. (G) 30. Yamauchi K. 14. Yuruki K.	15. Jung Seung-Hyun 13. Kang Sang-Woo 27. Lee Chung-Yong 10. Lee D. 16. Lee H. 9. Marcao 26. Park Min-Seo 31. Ryu Seong-Min (G)
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Roh S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Thuler 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Baek In-Woo 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Jean Patric ⚽, Kuwasaki Y. (A),
59', Baek In-Woo ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
66', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Lee D. ↑,
67', Heo Yool ↓, Marcao ↑,
71', Jean Patric ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
71', Nagato K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
85', Miyashiro T. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
90+2', Osako Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
26.10.25	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.25	Gangwon - Vissel Kobe	4:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Melbourne City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLW
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Anyang - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
23.10.24	Ulsan HD - Vissel Kobe	0:2
13.12.20	Ulsan HD - Vissel Kobe	2:1 ET

Upcoming Matches