Match Info

Championship - Round 31

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield United		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.27	3.53	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.6	3.1
	2.29	3.54	3	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.38	3.72	2.93	Watch
	2.28	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.35)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	3 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
41.7%

Draw
26.7%

Middlesbrough
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.7%	34.3%	20%

Sheffield United - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Middlesbrough (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Middlesbrough (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Middlesbrough (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 6. Bindon T. 14. Burrows H. 4. Arblaster O. 42. Peck S. 11. Brooks A. 10. O'Hare C. 8. Hamer G. 45. Bamford P.	31. Brynn S. (G) 12. Ayling L. 2. Brittain C. 29. Malanda A. 3. Targett M. 7. Hackney H. (C) 8. McGree R. 16. Browne A. 18. Morris A. 9. Conway T. 11. Whittaker M.
Substitutes
23. Campbell T. 7. Cannon T. 17. Davies A. (G) 5. Hjelde L. F. 12. Hoever K. 25. McGuinness M. 19. Ogbene C. 27. Phillips K. 48. Rothwell J.	6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 15. Munroe F. 45. Sarmiento J. 20. Sene M. K. 13. Strelec D. 99. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Wilder C.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Conway T. ⚽, McGree R. (A),
45', 0 - 2, McGree R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arblaster O. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
65', Brooks A. 🟨,
67', McGree R. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
67', O'Hare C. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
67', Peck S. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
69', Brittain C. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Bamford P. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
76', Phillips K. 🟨,
77', Gilbert A. 🟨,
78', Conway T. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
78', Whittaker M. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
80', Rothwell J. 🟥,
84', Burrows H. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
88', Morris A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
90+3', Seriki F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 1.

In recent matches, Sheff Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Middlesbrough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sheff Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sheff Utd might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Inactive) McCallum S. (Injury) Riedewald J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sene M. K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.08% Sheffield Utd: 2.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17:12	5	18
13	Sheffield Utd	9	3	3	3	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
03.02.26	Sheffield United - Oxford United	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Millwall - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sheffield United - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Southampton - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
31.01.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
21.01.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Fulham - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.08.25	Middlesbrough - Sheffield United	1:0
12.02.25	Sheffield United - Middlesbrough	3:1
23.10.24	Middlesbrough - Sheffield United	1:0
15.02.23	Sheffield United - Middlesbrough	1:3
14.08.22	Middlesbrough - Sheffield United	2:2
08.03.22	Sheffield United - Middlesbrough	4:1
28.09.21	Middlesbrough - Sheffield United	2:0

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