Match Info

Championship - Round 27

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Bromwich Albion		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.82	Watch
	2.43	3.36	2.92	Watch
	2.44	3.4	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.63	3.39	2.81	Watch
	2.42	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
38.4%

Draw
28.4%

Middlesbrough
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.6%	27.3%	12.1%

West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Middlesbrough (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Middlesbrough (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): West Bromwich Albion will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Griffiths J. (G) 5. Bielik K. (C) 3. Phillips N. 2. Mepham C. 29. Taylor C. 21. Price I. 4. Styles C. 10. Grant K. 11. Johnston M. 22. Iling Junior S. 19. Heggebo A.	31. Brynn S. (G) 3. Targett M. 12. Ayling L. 29. Malanda A. 16. Browne A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 14. Gilbert A. 18. Morris A. 22. Silvera S. 9. Conway T. 11. Whittaker M.
Substitutes
37. Bostock O. 6. Campbell G. 33. Deeming C. 12. Dike D. 14. Gilchrist A. 9. Maja J. 7. Wallace J. 34. Whitwell H. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)	10. Burgzorg D. 23. Castledine L. 6. Fry D. 27. Hansen S. 42. Kante A. 28. McCabe L. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 15. Munroe F. 19. Nypan S.
Coaches
Ramsay E.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Taylor C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Silvera S. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
64', Bielik K. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
64', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
65', Gilbert A. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
69', Mepham C. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Price I. ⚽, Wallace J. (A),
76', Mepham C. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Wallace J. ⚽,
82', Whittaker M. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
88', Styles C. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Burgzorg D. ⚽, Silvera S. (A),
90+2', Phillips N. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
90+2', Conway T. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 1.

West Bromwich has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Middlesbrough's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Injury)

There are questionable in West Bromwich: Bielik K. (Injury) Diakite O. (Injury) Whitwell H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Brittain C. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.08% West Brom: 4.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17:12	5	18
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10:9	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

West Bromwich Albion - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.03%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Championship
05.01.26	Leicester City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL
- Middlesbrough FC
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Fulham - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Middlesbrough - Southampton	4:0 ✺
01.01.26	Derby County - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Middlesbrough - Hull City	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.09.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
21.01.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
01.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	0:1
23.12.23	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	1:0
26.08.23	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	4:2
25.02.23	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:0
30.07.22	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	1:1

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