Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Sheffield Wednesday		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.95	3.6	3.95	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3.95
	1.97	3.59	4.1
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.97	3.55	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)	3.53 ↑ (3.39)	3.94 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
48.8%

Draw
27%

Nottingham Forest
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

18.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nottingham Forest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	22.2%	19.4%

Sheffield Wednesday - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 42.2% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Sheff Wed has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Nottingham has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Sheff Wed is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nottingham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheff Wed will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
24.04.21	Middlesbrough - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
20.04.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
13.04.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
10.04.21	Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield Wednesday	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLL
- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
24.04.21	Nottingham Forest - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
21.04.21	Birmingham City - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Nottingham Forest - Huddersfield Town	0:2 ✺
10.04.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
05.04.21	Nottingham Forest - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.12.20	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0
20.06.20	Sheffield Wednesday - Nottingham Forest	1:1
14.12.19	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield Wednesday	0:4
09.04.19	Sheffield Wednesday - Nottingham Forest	3:0
19.09.18	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1
26.12.17	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield Wednesday	0:3
09.09.17	Sheffield Wednesday - Nottingham Forest	3:1

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