The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 46.9%
Draw 28.4%
Stoke City 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29.8%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
22.3%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nottingham Forest - Stoke City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 11).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 8 (9.48%), has project points - 69, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Stoke has the most likely position - 10 (9.26%), has project points - 67, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nottingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Stoke is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nottingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Nottingham will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.
Watch
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