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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 49.2%
Draw 27.1%
Queens Park Rangers 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
28%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
20.4%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.5%
9.9%
12.6%
Nottingham Forest - Queens Park Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
111 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 86 - 77.5%). QPR will win (votes: 14 - 12.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 69.7% – 85.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 7 (9.84%), has project points - 71, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
QPR has the most likely position - 7 (10.69%), has project points - 72, has currently - 59, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality47, small importance30, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 2.
Nottingham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches QPR is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
QPR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Nottingham is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.
Watch
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