Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Sheger Ketema		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.45	2.7
	2.92	2.45	2.72
	3.52	2.08	3.13
	3.38	2.14	3.08	Watch
	2.9	2.45	2.7
	3.33	2.18	3.22	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)	2.36 ↓ (2.72)	2.86 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
29.5%

Draw
38.6%

Ethiopian Medhin
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

33.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

33%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 0, Kassaw D. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 15)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
26.02.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mechal - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTWT
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
25.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTTL

Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide