Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.25	5	1.27
	7.4	5.2	1.35
	7.55	5.04	1.35
	7.41	4.98	1.33	Watch
	9.5	5	1.25	Watch
	8.1	5.1	1.31	Watch
	7.4	5.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.94 ↑ (7)	5.07 ↑ (4.75)	1.32 (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
11.6%

Draw
18.2%

Beijing Guoan
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

18.9%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

18.5%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shijiazhuang Gongfu (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Shijiazhuang Gongfu (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Dawhan ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Wang Ziming ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', Zhan Sainan 🟥,
57', 0 - 3, Zhang Xizhe ⚽,
68', 0 - 4, Zhang Yuan ⚽,
76', 0 - 5, Wang Ziming ⚽,

Preview

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWT
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWW

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