Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.60	1.76	Watch
	4.33	3.40	1.82
	3.90	3.50	1.84	Watch
	4.21	3.60	1.96
	3.76	3.51	1.99	Watch
	4.50	3.75	1.78
	4.35	3.69	1.83	Watch
	4.50	3.60	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.34)	3.58 ↑ (3.33)	1.85 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
22.3%

Draw
26.5%

Kashiwa Reysol
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimizu S-Pulse's form might have worsened.

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashiwa Reysol's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Shimizu S Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kashiwa (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Umeda T. (G) 24. Sugai H. 14. Park Seung-Wook 15. Honda Y. 28. Yoshida Y. 47. Shimamoto Y. 17. Yumiba M. 13. Germain R. 38. Tsuji Y. 9. Oh Se-Hun (C) 50. Fujii T.	25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 18. Kakita Y.
Substitutes
7. Capixaba 19. Kinoshita K. 37. Koizumi K. 81. Kozuka K. 21. Matsuzaki K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 51. Sumiyoshi J. 70. Takagi S. 3. Takahashi Y.	88. Baba S. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 2. Mitsumaru H. 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 77. Wakahara T. (G) 44. Yuba K. 16. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
57', Yamauchi H. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
66', Honda Y. ↓, Sumiyoshi J. ↑,
66', Tsuji Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
70', Endo K. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
70', Koizumi Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Sumiyoshi J. (Own goal),
75', Fujii T. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
82', Yoshida Y. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
82', Yumiba M. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
90+1', Kubo T. ↓, Baba S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 0.

Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.

Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.2:2.1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.22% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Kashiwa Reysol - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Karlsruher - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Karlsruher - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLWTW
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
28.06.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2
06.05.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0
20.08.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1
29.05.22	Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1
16.10.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1
21.03.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2
31.10.20	Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0

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