Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kashiwa Reysol		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.80	5.00
	1.62	3.7	5.15	Watch
	1.7	3.85	5.47
	1.66	3.86	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5.4
	1.66	3.65	5.61	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	3.75 ↓ (3.95)	5.29 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashiwa Reysol
57%

Draw
25.2%

Mito HollyHock
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.1%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 18. Kakita Y.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 39. Yamamoto H. 20. Funabashi Y. 19. Semba T. 11. Torikai Y. 18. Uchino K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)
Substitutes
88. Baba S. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 2. Mitsumaru H. 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 77. Wakahara T. (G) 44. Yuba K. 16. Yuruki K.	50. Ieizumi R. 8. Kato C. 4. Kawazura A. 70. Matheus Leiria 21. Matsubara S. (G) 9. Nemoto R. 3. Osaki K. 33. Patryck 22. Taniguchi K.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kakita Y. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Watanabe A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
59', Yamamoto H. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
67', Kakita Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Uchino K. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Funabashi Y. ↓, Osaki K. ↑,
73', Itakura K. ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,
73', Endo K. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
80', Kubo T. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
80', Koizumi Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
81', Kumasaka K. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
87', Torikai Y. ↓, Patryck ↑,
90+2', Semba T. 🟨,

Preview

Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kashiwa is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Kashiwa: Okubo T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury) Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Hayakawa U. (Knee Injury) Shimatani K. (Lower Back Injury)

There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashiwa Reysol: 11.12% Mito: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashiwa Reysol
Club Friendly
01.08.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:6 ✺
23.05.26	Kashiwa Reysol - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
19.04.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0
22.03.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	3:0
Japan J2 League
14.10.19	Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock	2:3
19.05.19	Mito HollyHock - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0

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