Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerezo Osaka		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.30	2.87
	2.2	3.3	3	Watch
	2.47	3.3	3.15
	2.48	3.18	2.98	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.05
	2.29	3.13	3.39	Watch
	2.4	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)	3.22 ↓ (3.42)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
40%

Draw
29.3%

Shimizu S-Pulse
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 44. Hatanaka S. 4. Inoue R. 2. Nakamura T. 36. Irvine J. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 66. Ohata A. 8. Kagawa S. 14. Yokoyama Y. 9. Sakuragawa S.	16. Umeda T. (G) 24. Sugai H. 14. Park Seung-Wook 15. Honda Y. 25. Brunetti M. 47. Shimamoto Y. 17. Yumiba M. 13. Germain R. 49. Kitagawa K. (C) 9. Oh Se-Hun 50. Fujii T.
Substitutes
31. Abe K. (G) 77. Fernandes L. 41. Komi Y. 6. Noborizato K. 28. Okazawa K. 16. Okuda H. 19. Sabbag P. 97. Takahashi T. 11. Thiago Andrade	7. Capixaba 2. Diego 4. Hasukawa S. 19. Kinoshita K. 37. Koizumi K. 21. Matsuzaki K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 70. Takagi S. 28. Yoshida Y.
Coaches
Machin P.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Oh Se-Hun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kagawa S. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
48', Sakuragawa S. 🟨,
51', Hatanaka S. 🟨,
57', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
58', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Irvine J. (A),
63', Brunetti M. 🟨,
66', Fujii T. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
66', Yumiba M. ↓, Diego ↑,
66', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
76', Park Seung-Wook ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
77', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
90', Ohata A. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
90', Komi Y. ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Shimizu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.

Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Sakata R. (Hamstring Injury) Shibayama M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Shimizu: Inoue K. (Injury) Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cerezo Osaka - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Shimizu S-Pulse - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Cerezo Osaka - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 LWWWT
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Karlsruher - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Karlsruher - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
14.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.05.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 penalties
07.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties
09.11.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:4
01.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:2
26.06.22	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
12.03.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:3
04.12.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	2:1

Upcoming Matches