The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 35.7%
Draw 27.1%
Kashima Antlers 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
26.4%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
27.3%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 22. Sugai H. 32. Saito M. 6. Joao Pedro 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 93. Nagasawa S. 14. Hara T.
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 25. Koike R. 77. Cavric A. 20. Funabashi Y. 6. Misao K. 18. Elber 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
3. Asada S. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 25. Leo Gomes 18. Matsuda T. 48. Nakano R. 29. Okugawa M. 44. Sato K. 16. Takeda S. 27. Yamada F.
71. Araki R. 4. Chida K. 13. Chinen K. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 27. Matsumura Y. 7. Ogawa R. 11. Tagawa K. 34. Tokuda H. 23. Tsukui K.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae
Oniki T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Hara T. 🟨,
12', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
25', Saito M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Funabashi Y. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
62', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
64', Saito M. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
72', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
72', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
74', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
75', Hirato T. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
75', Nagasawa S. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
81', Misao K. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
81', Cavric A. ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
82', Leo Gomes 🟨,
86', Marco Tulio ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Matsumura Y. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
In recent matches, Kyoto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kyoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kyoto: Suzuki Y.
(Red Card)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Kashima: Suzuki Y.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Kyoto Sanga - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Kashima Antlers - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
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Ota G. (G) 
Joao Pedro 
Kim Tae-Hyeon 
Cavric A. 
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