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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 46.5%
Draw 27.2%
Kyoto Sanga 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
28.6%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.1%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nagoya Grampus's performance.
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Nagoya (3.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Kyoto (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nagoya Grampus will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 6 - 75%). Kyoto (votes: 2 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 55. Tokumoto S. 9. Asano Y. 15. Inagaki S. 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. (C) 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
1. Ota G. (G) 22. Sugai H. 50. Suzuki Y. (C) 34. Henrique Trevisan 44. Sato K. 8. Yonemoto T. 25. Yoon S. 39. Hirato T. 7. Okugawa M. 88. Gustavo Barreto 18. Matsuda T.
Substitutes
33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 20. Mikuni K. 18. Nagai K. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 30. Sugiura S. 17. Uchida T.
77. Arai H. 3. Asada S. 16. Hiraoka T. 99. Honda F. 40. Ishida Y. 6. Joao Pedro 94. Murakami M. (G) 48. Nakano R. 9. Rafael Elias
Coaches
Petrovic M.
Jo Gwi-Jae
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
28', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽,
36', Izumi R. 🟨,
44', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hirato T. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
46', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
46', Matsuda T. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
57', Yonemoto T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
59', Nakayama K. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
60', Asano Y. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
67', Okugawa M. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
69', Hara T. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
89', Izumi R. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
89', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Koda H. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 0.
Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kyoto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nagoya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Nagoya will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Morishima T.
(Muscle Injury)
Sato Y.
(Eye injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
China
Japan
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Schmidt D. (G) 
Henrique Trevisan 
Yoon S. 
Petrovic M. 
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