Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 41

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8	Watch
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.3	5.5	8	Watch
	1.32	5.76	9
	1.33	5.76	9
	1.25	5	8
	1.32	5.45	8.3	Watch
	1.31	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	5.46 ↑ (4.6)	8.2 ↑ (7.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
71.6%

Draw
17.1%

Omiya Ardija
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.8%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

18.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimizu S-Pulse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shimizu S Pulse - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 4. Takahashi Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 2. Yamahara R. 14. Shirasaki R. 3. Ronaldo 11. Nakayama K. 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 9. Thiago Santana	40. Shimura K. (G) 3. Okaniwa S. 5. Urakami N. 43. Ichihara R. 25. Hakamata Y. 32. Takayanagi F. 16. Ishikawa T. 7. Kojima M. 22. Motegi R. 19. Rodrigo 33. Muroi K.
Substitutes
15. Kishimoto T. 45. Kitagawa K. 5. Kitazume K. 13. Miyamoto K. 20. Oh Se-Hun 1. Okubo T. (G) 28. Yoshida Y.	39. Izumisawa J. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 8. Kurimoto H. 4. Mafaldo 9. Nakano S. 49. Osawa T. 28. Tomiyama T.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Harasaki M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1.

Recent matches Shimizu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Omiya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shimizu is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
28.10.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Roasso Kumamoto	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Iwaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:7 ✺
07.10.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLT
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
29.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Tokushima Vortis - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.04.23	Omiya Ardija - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3
Japan J1 League
30.09.17	Omiya Ardija - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0
Japan J League Cup
24.05.17	Omiya Ardija - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:0
Japan J1 League
16.04.17	Shimizu S-Pulse - Omiya Ardija	1:1
27.09.14	Omiya Ardija - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
12.04.14	Shimizu S-Pulse - Omiya Ardija	2:0
23.11.13	Shimizu S-Pulse - Omiya Ardija	1:0

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