Match Info

J1 League - Round 31

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.05	Watch
	2.98	3.3	2.28	Watch
	3.25	3.52	2.29
	2.99	3.23	2.38	Watch
	3.13	3.43	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.73)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	2.25 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
30.5%

Draw
28%

Urawa Red Diamonds
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	13.3%	40%

Shimizu S Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Urawa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Urawa (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%). Urawa (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Umeda T. (G) 66. Sumiyoshi J. 24. Kim Min-Tae 4. Hasukawa S. 5. Kitazume K. 6. Miyamoto K. 98. Matheus Bueno 14. Yamahara R. 19. Matsuzaki K. 8. Kozuka K. 23. Kitagawa K. (C)	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 26. Ogiwara T. 25. Yasui K. 11. Gustafson S. 14. Sekine T. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 13. Watanabe R. 99. Kiese I.
Substitutes
41. Haneda K. 33. Inui T. 11. Nakahara H. 1. Oki Y. (G) 70. Takagi S. 38. Takahashi T. 21. Yajima S. 28. Yoshida Y. 17. Yumiba M.	39. Hayakawa J. 77. Kaneko T. 6. Matsumoto T. 24. Matsuo Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 10. Nakajima S. 28. Nemoto K. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 22. Shibato K.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Skorza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miyamoto K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
46', Kitazume K. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
56', Kozuka K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
56', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
63', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
63', Sekine T. ↓, Kaneko T. ↑,
73', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
73', Matheus Savio ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
83', Gustafson S. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
85', Kitagawa K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
90+1', Nakahara H. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 0.

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.9:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Honda FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTL
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ET ✺
03.09.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.08.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1
Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
26.03.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
Japan J1 League
16.07.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2
06.04.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
27.11.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
07.04.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2

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