Match Info

J1 League - Round 28

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.6
	1.72	3.8	4.24
	1.82	3.9	4.55
	1.74	3.83	4.42	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.75	3.87	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	3.8 ↑ (3.58)	4.46 ↓ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
54.2%

Draw
24.7%

Albirex Niigata
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	4%	0%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Albirex Niigata (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Urawa (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Urawa (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Albirex Niigata (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 26. Ogiwara T. 25. Yasui K. 11. Gustafson S. 77. Kaneko T. 10. Nakajima S. 8. Matheus Savio 17. Komori H.	21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 31. Horigome Y. 55. Moraes 8. Shirai E. 50. Uemura H. 14. Ohara M. 65. Boudah A. 41. Hasegawa M.
Substitutes
6. Matsumoto T. 24. Matsuo Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 28. Nemoto K. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 21. Okubo T. 14. Sekine T. 22. Shibato K. 12. Thiago	22. Arai T. 35. Chiba K. 42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 30. Okumura J. 28. Shimamura T. 33. Takagi Y. 7. Taniguchi K. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
Coaches
Skorza M.	Irie T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
42', Matheus Savio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gustafson S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
59', Nakajima S. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
64', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
76', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
76', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
76', Uemura H. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
81', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
81', Ogiwara T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
86', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
88', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
90+5', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.

Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Niigata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:2 ✺
16.08.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
23.08.25	Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
11.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
08.12.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata	0:0
11.05.24	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:4
02.09.23	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
18.03.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata	2:1
09.07.17	Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata	2:1
14.05.17	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:6

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