Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 26

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.32	7.32
	1.5	4.07	6.47	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.2	6.53	Watch
	1.45	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	4.15 ↓ (4.34)	6.48 ↓ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
63.4%

Draw
22.3%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

20.4%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Shimizu S Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 14. Yamahara R. 36. Uno Z. 13. Miyamoto K. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K.	21. Kushibiki M. (G) 3. Ohata R. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 5. Kawakami C. 37. Sehata G. 6. Amagasa T. 50. Kikuchi K. 28. Kabayama R. 44. Semba T. 32. Kawata A.
Substitutes
9. Aziz 5. Kitazume K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 44. Motoki N. 1. Oki Y. (G) 21. Yajima S. 28. Yoshida Y.	23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 15. Kazama K. 40. Sagawa K. 11. Sugimoto R. 29. Tagashira R. 7. Wada M.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Muto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Carlinhos ⚽, Inui T. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Uno Z. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Hara T. ⚽, Inui T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabayama R. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
46', Ohata R. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
56', Kazama K. 🟨,
61', Carlinhos ↓, Motoki N. ↑,
61', Lucas Braga ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
70', Kitagawa K. ↓, Aziz ↑,
70', Inui T. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Aziz ⚽, Yajima S. (A),
76', Kawata A. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
76', Nakashio D. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
80', Uno Z. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
89', Amagasa T. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Recent matches Shimizu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Thespakusatsu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shimizu is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Reims	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWLW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:4 ✺
29.06.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.05.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3
25.06.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
29.03.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3
29.10.16	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:4
28.05.16	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	8:0

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