Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Koshko Y. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Veles Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.35	3.85
	1.8	3.36	4.71
	1.77	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.84	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2)	3.42 ↑ (3.26)	4.3 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
51.4%

Draw
27.1%

Veles Moscow
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Shinnik - Veles Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Shinnik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Veles has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shinnik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Rotor - Shinnik	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
01.10.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
25.09.22	Shinnik - Rubin Kazan	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWTW
- Veles Moscow
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Veles Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
01.10.22	Veles Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Veles Moscow - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Veles Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
29.11.20	Veles Moscow - Shinnik	4:2
22.08.20	Shinnik - Veles Moscow	1:2

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