Match Info

J1 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shonan Bellmare		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.88	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.62	2.92	2.82	Watch
	2.79	3	2.92
	2.78	3.01	2.79	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.62
	2.75	3.02	2.83	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
34.7%

Draw
31.6%

Avispa Fukuoka
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Avispa Fukuoka (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 50%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 22. Oiwa K. 8. Ono K. 5. Suzuki J. 50. Fujii T. 15. Okuno K. 25. Okuno H. 3. Hata T. 18. Ikeda M. 9. Oda Y. 16. Nemoto R.	1. Nagaishi T. (G) 29. Maejima Y. 5. Kamijima T. 20. Ando T. 77. Shichi T. 88. Matsuoka D. 15. Akino H. 14. Nago S. 11. Miki T. 18. Iwasaki Y. 17. Wellington
Substitutes
14. Barada A. 19. Fukuda S. 77. Ishii H. 47. Kim Min-Tae 7. Onose K. 31. Sanada K. (G) 10. Suzuki A. 37. Suzuki Y. 33. Takahashi N.	47. Hashimoto Y. 7. Kanamori T. 19. Kim M. 8. Konno K. 31. Murakami M. (G) 50. Sato S. 6. Shigemi M. 37. Tashiro M. 9. Zahedi S.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.	Kim Myong-hwi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nemoto R. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
46', Ikeda M. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
62', Wellington ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
62', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
62', Oda Y. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
75', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
75', Miki T. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
77', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
84', Fujii T. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
89', Zahedi S. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 0.

Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avispa Fukuoka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shonan Bellmare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Fujimoto K. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:22 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
25.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWW
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
25.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
07.08.24	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
09.03.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
30.08.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	3:1
Japan J1 League
16.07.23	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
19.03.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	2:1
16.07.22	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
07.05.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	0:0

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