The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 39.5%
Draw 30%
Nagoya Grampus 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29.3%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
29.7%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH +1 - Nagoya (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 47. Kim Min-Tae 5. Suzuki J. 15. Okuno K. 50. Fujii T. 7. Onose K. 25. Okuno H. 3. Hata T. 10. Suzuki A. 19. Fukuda S.
1. Schmidt D. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 3. Sato Y. 6. Kawazura A. 27. Nakayama K. 15. Inagaki S. 26. Kato G. 17. Uchida T. 9. Asano Y. 14. Morishima T. 10. Mateus
Substitutes
14. Barada A. 18. Ikeda M. 77. Ishii H. 27. Luiz Phellype 16. Nemoto R. 9. Oda Y. 22. Oiwa K. 8. Ono K. 31. Sanada K. (G)
7. Izumi R. 77. Junker K. 33. Kikuchi T. 20. Mikuni K. 4. Miya D. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 8. Shiihashi K.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.
Hasegawa K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
45+3', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
45+4', Fujii T. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Inagaki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kato G. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
46', Morishima T. ↓, Izumi R. ↑,
64', Inagaki S. 🟨,
64', Asano Y. 🟨,
74', Asano Y. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
74', Uchida T. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
76', Suzuki A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
76', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
83', Fujii T. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
83', Nakayama K. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
87', Okuno H. ↓, Ono K. ↑,
87', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 1.
Shonan Bellmare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nagoya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ishibashi S.
(Ankle Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Calf Injury)
Tokumoto S.
(Muscle Injury)
Yamagishi Y.
(Knee Injury)
Yamanaka R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 0.9:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.