Match Info

J1 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kyoto Sanga		Shonan Bellmare

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.8
	2.31	3.16	2.97	Watch
	2.38	3.23	3.12	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.4	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.33	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
39.5%

Draw
29.2%

Shonan Bellmare
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Ota G. (G) 22. Sugai H. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 10. Fukuoka S. 7. Kawasaki S. 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 9. Rafael Elias 14. Hara T.	99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 47. Kim Min-Tae 5. Suzuki J. 50. Fujii T. 15. Okuno K. 25. Okuno H. 3. Hata T. 7. Onose K. 19. Fukuda S. 10. Suzuki A.
Substitutes
5. Appiah Tawiah H. 2. Fukuda S. 1. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 31. Hiraga S. 18. Matsuda T. 77. Murilo de Souza 29. Okugawa M. 4. Patrick William 8. Yonemoto T.	14. Barada A. 18. Ikeda M. 27. Luiz Phellype 16. Nemoto R. 9. Oda Y. 22. Oiwa K. 8. Ono K. 31. Sanada K. (G) 4. Tachi K.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae	Yamaguchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Rafael Elias 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Kawasaki S. ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fukuoka S. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
59', Marco Tulio ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Kawasaki S. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
66', Okuno K. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
78', Hirato T. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
80', Fukuda S. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
80', Okuno H. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
86', Suzuki A. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
87', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
87', Rafael Elias ↓, Patrick William ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2.

Kyoto in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga	3:4 ✺
02.04.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Gainare Tottori - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTWW
- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.06.24	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
02.03.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	1:2
21.10.23	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
12.03.23	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	0:2
26.06.22	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
12.03.22	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
Japan J2 League
23.09.17	Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare	0:0

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