Match Info

J1 League - Round 20

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1


	Shonan Bellmare		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3	2.1
	3.8	3.11	2.01	Watch
	4.29	3.41	2.02
	3.7	3.29	2.04	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	4.13	3.37	1.97	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.76)	3.19 ↓ (3.26)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
24%

Draw
29.5%

Machida Zelvia
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

29.5%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 25%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Machida Zelvia (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Machida Zelvia (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. (C) 5. Suzuki J. 8. Ono K. 50. Fujii T. 14. Barada A. 25. Okuno H. 32. Matsumura S. 7. Onose K. 13. Hiraoka T. 27. Luiz Phellype	1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. (C) 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 18. Shimoda H. 26. Hayashi K. 20. Nishimura T. 7. Soma Y. 9. Fujio S.
Substitutes
19. Fukuda S. 18. Ikeda M. 20. Ishibashi S. 16. Nemoto R. 22. Oiwa K. 15. Okuno K. 31. Sanada K. (G) 10. Suzuki A. 4. Tachi K.	15. Duke M. 4. Kikuchi R. 49. Kuwayama K. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 90. Oh Se-Hun 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R. 39. Vasquez B.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Mae H. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
61', Luiz Phellype ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Fukuda S. ⚽,
72', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
78', Fujii T. ↓, Tachi K. ↑,
82', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
82', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Na Sang-Ho ⚽,
90+1', Onose K. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
90+1', Barada A. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
90+1', Nishimura T. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Concussion)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Gifu	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sangyo University	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
17.05.25	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
11.08.24	Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
11.05.24	Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia	0:0
Japan J2 League
19.11.17	Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia	1:1
07.05.17	Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare	0:0

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