The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 49.3%
Draw 25.8%
Sagan Tosu 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
25.9%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
28.1%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
25%
33.3%
Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 8% โ 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Song Bum-Keun (G) 22. Oiwa K. 47. Kim Min-Tae 8. Ono K. 37. Suzuki Y. 14. Barada A. 3. Hata T. 18. Ikeda M. 13. Hiraoka T. 7. Abe H. 19. Fukuda S.
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 3. Kimura S. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 5. Kawahara S. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 23. Kikuchi T. 88. Naganuma Y. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
77. Ishii H. 21. Mawatari H. (G) 15. Okuno K. 2. Sugioka D. 5. Tanaka S. 34. Watanabe K. 10. Yamada N.
11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. 21. Horigome Y. 28. Maruhashi Y. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 16. Ueebisu K. 13. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Togashi C. ⚽, Tezuka K. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Fukuda S. ⚽, Abe H. (A),
37', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
45+4', Ono K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barada A. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Abe H. ⚽, Ikeda M. (A),
58', Kikuchi T. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
68', Tezuka K. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
68', Naganuma Y. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
70', Harada W. 🟨,
71', Ikeda M. ↓, Yamada N. ↑,
77', Kimura S. 🟨,
79', Togashi C. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
79', Yamazaki K. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
82', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
82', Abe H. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
89', Fukuda S. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
90+4', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 2.
Shonan Bellmare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
Shonan Bellmare will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.
Watch
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Song Bum-Keun (G) 
Oiwa K. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 
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