The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 58.2%
Draw 23.6%
Sagan Tosu 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
24.7%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
23.8%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
20%
30%
Kashiwa Reysol - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 19% โ 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Matsumoto K. (G) 24. Kawaguchi N. 13. Inukai T. 4. Koga T. 3. Diego 29. Shimamura T. 34. Tsuchiya T. 33. Shirai E. 6. Yamada Y. 14. Koyamatsu T. 10. Matheus Savio
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 34. Nagasawa S. 2. Yamazaki K. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 28. Maruhashi Y. 5. Kawahara S. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 23. Kikuchi T. 88. Naganuma Y. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
15. Kinoshita K. 31. Morita T. (G) 9. Muto Y. 22. Noda H. 50. Tatsuta Y. 28. Toshima S. 45. Yamamoto O.
11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. 21. Horigome Y. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 32. Sakaiya K. 16. Ueebisu K. 13. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Ihara M.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
28', Diego 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Shimamura T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nagasawa S. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
51', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
63', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
67', Maruhashi Y. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
67', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
69', Tsuchiya T. 🟨,
73', Matheus Savio ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
73', Shimamura T. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
75', Kikuchi T. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
76', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
83', Togashi C. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
85', Tsuchiya T. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 2.
Kashiwa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Tosu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kashiwa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Kashiwa is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-17.