Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo Verdy		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.96	Watch
	3.95	3.05	1.98
	4.1	3.28	2.06
	3.97	3.24	2.03	Watch
	3.9	3	1.95
	3.92	3.13	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.25)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	2 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
23.4%

Draw
29.9%

Urawa Red Diamonds
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Urawa Red Diamonds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Urawa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Tokyo Verdy (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 5. Inoue R. 6. Miyahara K. 22. Uchida Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 10. Morita K. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 8. Saito K. 40. Arai Y. 9. Someno I.	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 14. Sekine T. 2. Miyamoto Y. 5. Nemoto K. 26. Ogiwara T. 25. Yasui K. 22. Shibato K. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 36. Hidano R.
Substitutes
14. Fukuda Y. 36. Matsuda R. 41. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Shirai R. 35. Tanabe S. 13. Yamada G. 11. Yamami H. 28. Yamamoto J. 55. Yoshida T.	3. Danilo Boza 39. Hayakawa J. 4. Ishihara H. 9. Kiese I. 88. Naganuma Y. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 45. Onaiwu A. 27. Teruuchi T.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Skorza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Someno I. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shibato K. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
52', Inoue R. 🟨,
56', Saito K. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
56', Arai Y. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
65', Hidano R. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
77', Yasui K. 🟨,
78', Kaneko T. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
78', Ogiwara T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
79', Hirakawa R. ↓, Yamamoto J. ↑,
85', Sekine T. ↓, Ishihara H. ↑,
90', Onaiwu A. 🟨,
90+6', Morita K. ↓, Yoshida T. ↑,
90+6', Uchida Y. ↓, Tanabe S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Urawa might have a minor edge in this game.

There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
07.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	3:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LLWWW
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
07.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
06.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
03.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	2:0
19.10.24	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
03.03.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
22.08.18	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy	1:0

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