Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Greenhous Meadow (Shrewsbury)


	Shrewsbury Town		York City

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	6
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.6	3.9	5.2
	1.6	3.92	5.47
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.57	3.86	5.4	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.37)	3.89 ↓ (4.61)	5.4 ↓ (8.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
58.7%

Draw
24%

York City
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

19.6%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Shrewsbury Town - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). York will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Shrewsbury is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches York is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Shrewsbury have a series of guest games.

In this match Shrewsbury is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
29.10.22	Portsmouth - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLLW
- York City
English National League
29.10.22	York City - Southend United	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	York City - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Aldershot Town - York City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Bury AFC - York City	1:2 ✺
English National League
11.10.22	York City - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.04.15	Shrewsbury Town - York City	1:0
18.10.14	York City - Shrewsbury Town	0:1

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