Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday


	Shukura Kobuleti		Rustavi

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.3	4.2
	1.53	6.12	3.46
	1.56	6.1	3.5
	1.59	4.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.31)	5.26 ↑ (4.55)	3.77 ↓ (7.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shukura Kobuleti
58.6%

Draw
17.3%

Rustavi
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shukura Kobuleti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shukura Kobuleti's form might have worsened.

Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rustavi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shukura Kobuleti than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shukura Kobuleti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rustavi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	4.3%	69.6%

Shukura Kobuleti - Rustavi Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Shukura will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Rustavi will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rustavi: 50.8% – 88.4%.

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Preview

Shukura is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rustavi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Shukura is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shukura won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Shukura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shukura Kobuleti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.11.22	WIT Georgia - Shukura Kobuleti	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Spaeri - Shukura Kobuleti	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Merani Martvili - Shukura Kobuleti	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWW
- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.11.22	Rustavi - Gareji Sagarejo	2:3 ✺
13.11.22	Rustavi - WIT Georgia	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Samtredia - Rustavi	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Rustavi - Spaeri	1:5 ✺
22.10.22	Merani Tbilisi - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
08.10.22	Rustavi - Shukura Kobuleti	1:3
22.05.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Rustavi	3:0
16.11.20	Shukura Kobuleti - Rustavi	5:1
04.08.20	Rustavi - Shukura Kobuleti	1:1

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