Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Siena		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.11	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 (2.01)	3.11 (3.11)	3.33 (3.33)

The best margin for this event is 11.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
44.4%

Draw
28.7%

Ostia Mare
26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Siena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Ostia Mare have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Boccardi F. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Rasi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Giannetti N. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Mastalli A. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Giannetti N. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Siena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ostia Mare is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Siena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Siena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Siena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	Fezzanese - Siena	4:2 ✺
12.04.25	Siena - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Trestina - Siena	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Siena - Figline	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Fulgens Foligno - Siena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
17.04.25	Ostia Mare - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Ostia Mare - Trestina	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Fezzanese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
15.12.24	Ostia Mare - Siena	0:1

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