Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Dender EH		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.42	3.6	2.15
	3.61	3.67	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.1
	3.64	3.52	2.12	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.85)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	2.1 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
27.9%

Draw
27.1%

Sint-Truidense
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dender EH - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 21 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sint-Truidense (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sint-Truidense (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Sint-Truidense (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sint-Truidense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 44. De Fougerolles L. 21. Cools K. 7. Goncalves B. 5. Marijnissen L. 17. Mbamba N. 24. Viltard M. 88. Ferraro F. 16. Kvet R. 9. Toshevski D. 77. Nsimba B.	16. Kokubo L. (G) 3. Hata T. 5. Taniguchi S. (C) 4. Mbe Soh L. 18. Jukleroed S. 6. Yamamoto R. 8. Sissako A. 13. Ito R. 60. Vanwesemael R. 42. Goto K. 10. Sebaoui I.
Substitutes
90. Berte M. 6. De Kerf B. 1. Fortin L. (G) 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 15. Koton K. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 11. Oratmangoen R. 18. Rodes N. 70. Sambu M.	11. Delpupo I. 77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 22. Janssens W. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Merlen R. 7. Muja A. 23. Pupe J.
Coaches
Milkon H.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Mbamba N. ⚽,
20', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
24', 1 - 1, Sebaoui I. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Ito R. ⚽, Sissako A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Mbamba N. 🟨,
62', Viltard M. 🟨,
65', Mbamba N. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
65', Marijnissen L. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Yamamoto R. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
68', Jukleroed S. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
75', Ito R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
77', Viltard M. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
77', Cools K. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
86', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
87', 1 - 4, Muja A. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
90', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
90', Sissako A. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
90', Goto K. ↓, Delpupo I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

Recent form of Dender EH has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sint-Truidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sint-Truidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dender EH: Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Musliu V. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Dietsch G. (Foot Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dender EH - Genk	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Anderlecht - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLTW
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.02.26	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Westerlo - Sint-Truidense	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Sint-Truidense - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.08.25	Sint-Truidense - Dender EH	2:0
08.02.25	Dender EH - Sint-Truidense	2:1
17.08.24	Sint-Truidense - Dender EH	3:3

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